Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 9, 2022

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Thu Oct 13 15:58:32 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@TheZvi Yeah, that long COVID survey had all sorts of signs of response bias. ~2/3 of respondents with a symptomatic infection were female. Also older, higher socioeconomic status. Also, people with COVID were much more likely to respond than control group. Bad use of polling. https://t.co/iIiIhny6kr — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd guess that out of every 10 papers that claim to adjust for confounders/selection effects: 1 actually does a convincing job 2 aren't entirely convincing but do as well as they can 3 go through the motions but leave obvious Qs unanswered 4 should never ever have been published — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende @asymmetricinfo I think it's hard to disaggregate (1) sleep, exercise or eating routines often being disrupted during travel days and (2) days before/after travel often being quite busy (if it's a business trip, I have to be more "on" than usual, it's tiring) from the rigors of travel itself. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2022