Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 5, 2022

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Wed Sep 21 14:02:09 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The one Senate race where the polling average has shifted toward Republicans is Wisconsin. But that was a race where (i) there hadn't been many polls and (ii) Barnes (D) was running well ahead of "fundamentals". So this may just be reversion to the mean. https://t.co/wwFJBbHlsA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We're getting a lot more polling since Labor Day (good) but one consequence of that is that it becomes a lot easier for people to weave together a narrative based on selected data points. To me, it really doesn't look like much has changed overall. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Could Aaron Judge beat Bonds's single-season HR record (73)? It's very unlikely. OTOH, Judge did have a 69 PA stretch from July 14 to Aug. 1 in which he hit 13 HR. If he hits 13 more HR, he'd tie Bonds at 73. Judge figures to have another ~70 PA left if he plays every day. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2022