Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 5, 2022

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Mon Sep 19 18:47:55 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, if we're being honest, putting everything in the toss-up category is lame. I doubt any of the people who have it at toss-up would bet any of their own money on Masters at 50/50-ish odds. https://t.co/Pn7YpRI2lO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Five polls out since labor day are Kelly +1, Kelly +20, Kelly +6, Kelly +2 and Kelly +15. So, yes, lots of disagreement but averages out to a pretty big lead for Kelly. — PolitiTweet.org

Last three polls in Arizona Senate race are Kelly +2, +2 and +6. Arizona Senate race ratings: Cook = Toss Up RCP =… https://t.co/nV1GtQXRm5

Posted Sept. 19, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conor64 I haven't traveled intentionally much lately, but was surprised at the near-total lack of masking in Paris and Montreal. One theory I heard (stealing this from a Euro friend) is that higher societal trust makes it easier to roll on COVID precautions but *also* to roll them off. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2022