Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 3, 2022

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Sat Sep 10 21:01:21 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DavidNir 95% of the complaints are inspired by ad-hoc partisan reactions because people don't like the poll toplines. Not any deeper argument about methodology. But honestly start your own polling averages based on your own standards and we'll see how they do. Not as easy as it seems. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DavidNir The whole point is that we have a systematic, rigorous process (hence "trust the process" in the original post) instead of debating about pollsters or polls on an ad-hoc, one-off basis. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DavidNir When the signal to noise ratio is so poor I have better ways to spend my time. But FWIW ~100% of the 5% are from people who have never built a polling aveage on their own and haven't thought carefully about how to apply a consistent set of standards to 1000s of polls every cycle. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2022