Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 26, 2022

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Thu Sep 01 16:46:50 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@AdamSerwer I'm saying overturning Roe is consistent with strategic behavior if you care about abortion a *lot*. Especially if you underestimate the degree of backlash, but maybe even if you don't. Not sure that's as true of overturning say Obergefell, where the convictions are less strong. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's certainly not *always* this simple. But the fact that there was such a visceral, vicious reaction toward Oster and other advocates for in-person schooling, and that it produced once of the biggest policy disasters in a generation, is an important data point to keep in mind. — PolitiTweet.org

That is not to say that the side that is viciously abusing the other side is always wrong. People were not particul… https://t.co/RQtTgoe6FH

Posted Sept. 1, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@AdamSerwer I don't think I ever claimed that strategic behavior *necessarily* means moderating your jurisprudence. But it sometimes does, and the calculation looks different after Dobbs, at least depending on what happens in the midterms. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2022