Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2022

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Thu Sep 01 14:41:11 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @AdamSerwer That's fair, but I also don't know that the conservative justices would have expected Dobbs to trigger the reaction that it did. Certainly, Republicans and conservatives had "gotten away" with a lot in the past. So that may be a new element in their calculus going forward. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@AdamSerwer I don't think there's any way to know that, and the default should be to consider SCOTUS justices to be strategic political actors. Abortion was singularly important to the conservative movement and they may have been willing to make sacrifices they wouldn't for other issues. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@AdamSerwer To say that the justices are strategic doesn't mean that they don't have convictions. Rather, it means they may pick their battles, and consider electoral blowback, to maximize the chances those convictions translate into sustainable changes to the law in the long run. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2022