Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 7, 2022

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Wed Aug 24 17:09:23 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Say for instance that the generic ballot is exactly tied on Election Day and the polls are correct that an equal number of voters would prefer to vote D and R for Congress. Rs would still win the popular vote (by like 1 or 1.5 points back-of-envelope) b/c of uncontested races. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 24, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Very technical aside but one thing to keep in mind is that there are quite a few House districts this year where there's no Democrat on the ballot, but not many with no Republican (exceptions mainly in CA). That creates a gap between the generic ballot and the House popular vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 24, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MattZeitlin Yeah the idea that people would be mad because they *only* had $10k forgiven is literally one of the worst political arguments I've ever heard (and I've heard a LOT of bad arguments). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 24, 2022