Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2022

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Mon Aug 15 18:03:24 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Be one thing if folks said "the FBI search at Mar-a-Lago could have unpredictable political consequences, and in some scenarios could help Trump" but instead people are like "OMG NOW HE'S GETTING RE-ELECTED FOR SURE!!!". I don't see how you can be that confident about it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 15, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kdrum @mattyglesias Doesn't seem so clear from that chart that 2012 is the inflection point? Maybe a gradual build-up of things that are then very much catalyzed and accelerated by the election of Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 15, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MattZeitlin I think that's too generous and it's basically just that there's zero repetitional risk as a pundit to say "this will actually help Trump!". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 15, 2022