Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2022

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Tue Aug 09 13:53:33 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Popular nonacademic (nonfiction) books are more like: 1. A Vivid Anecdote Demonstrating An Intractable Problem 2. A Half-Dozen Variations Demonstrating How Entrenched The Problem Is 3. Conclusion: 10 Easy Solutions To The Intractable Problem! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"This must be X, because Y would have been a really dumb strategy" is an argument that often presupposes too much about people's ability to avoid really dumb strategies. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo There are also a lot of in-between possibilities, e.g. that it's "just" about document-handling "for now" but this is the first among several steps that are either planned out or are at least reasonably likely to proceed pending contingencies. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2022