Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 17, 2022

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Mon Aug 08 00:53:42 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure Shor would disagree, but it's important to note that Republicans are cashing in the current bias of the Senate map for *some combination* of electoral victories and policy victories rather than purely trying to max out their number of seats. — PolitiTweet.org

The huge flaw in @davidshor’s central thesis is Republicans have shown they’d rather be an extremely unpopular part… https://t.co/bfjXF6JWUs

Posted Aug. 8, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@LFFriedman Also no mention of Manchin's electoral incentives and how unpopular Biden is in his state, how different the situation would be if a Republican held his seat instead, abd how his actions in other areas (e.g. voting for green-friendly infrastructure) have been helpful to climate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This probably the right strategy, too. You hold the Senate often enough to ensure a conservative, often activist Supreme Court majority, you mostly get what you want even if you don't win every election (and lose some winnable ones). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 8, 2022