Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 10, 2022

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Wed Aug 03 22:37:54 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kabir_here In general candidate effects have been decreasing as partisanship increases. But still sorta interesting that the polls line up better with our "fancy" fundamentals model (which includes candidate effects) than a simpler version based on partisanship alone. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@nathanlgonzales Ok sure but if you perform a more rigorous analysis (e.g. look at every Senate race since 1990, like our model does) you'll find that experience definitely matters in the aggregate. It doesn't mean there are no counterexamples. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Also Celsius sucks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022