Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 6, 2022

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Fri Jul 29 14:25:25 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It seems to be a *lot* like the other variants, in that it has vastly different effects in different countries based on how they fared with other recent variants, seasonality, and other factors. So if you cherrypick data like this, you can tell whatever story you want. — PolitiTweet.org

BA.5 is not just another variant. https://t.co/WrFmdlR8aJ

Posted July 29, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro I think she was a better candidate in the context of 2000 than 2016 and also NY is a relatively good match for her strengths (tends to be pro-establishment, raising money helps there, and she always did pretty well with middle-class nonwhite voters who are plentiful in NY). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's what non-cherrypicked data looks like. BA.5 looks better than some variants, worse than others. But it doesn't particularly stand out and it's certainly not causing the massive scale of destruction that we saw with variants like Delta. https://t.co/guRD1Nw61Q — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2022