Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 26, 2022

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Fri Jul 22 22:35:36 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The list of candidates who were considered formidable (rough heuristic: would have been an early co-favorite in betting markets) but totally flamed out is something like: Muskie (1972) Glenn (1984) Hart (1988) Gramm (1996) Giuliani (2008) Perry (2012) Jeb! (2016) Harris (2020) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Harris is a weird case because, while there are certainly candidates who came back from a failed primary bid to later win a nomination (Romney, Biden) I'm not sure there's one who underperformed so much relative to resources/expectations. She was a frontrunner but quit before IA. — PolitiTweet.org

The Sellers quote is weird because Harris as a presidential candidate never won a single Black vote because she tan… https://t.co/flFoGY5azj

Posted July 22, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

^^ Not a group that did well in subsequent primaries. Only Perry even ran again (and the sequel didn't go well, either). Then again, none of them became vice president in the interim. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2022