Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 28, 2022

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Wed Jun 22 17:55:47 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's still something of an open question whether Trump would have won the GOP nomination in 2016 had the opposition not been so fragmented, so the fact that *one* clear alternative has already emerged for the next nomination, DeSantis, potentially makes 2024 a different story. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 22, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's also more utility-maximizing. Given that there hard trade-offs in a pandemic, and also lots of cultural/geographic etc. variables in how the virus speads, tending to let New York City have a different response than South Dakota would seem much better than one-size-fits-all. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 22, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In certain ways, Trump's position in the primary is most analogous to Hillary Clinton, and the question is whether it's 2008 or 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 22, 2022