Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 23, 2022

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Sat Jun 11 15:04:16 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jdickerson How often one should persist in a belief against the expert consensus is a super interesting question. The "right" answer is probably some version of "rarely, but not never" since the consensus sometimes gets things very wrong. But figuring out when the exceptions are is hard. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@CitizenCohn Yeah I relied on some overly optimistic arrival time projections from the rideshare company I used LOL. "Fortunately" my flight is *also* quite late so turned out to have plenty of time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 10, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jdickerson I don't think the number of times you're told that your wrong is necessarily so relevant, though, so much as being told you're wrong by a diverse range of experts who have studied the question in different, independent ways (and ideally also don't all share the same politics). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 11, 2022