Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 15, 2022

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Sun May 29 17:06:28 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@adamdavidson @davidshor And honestly: You can certainly study how influential groups and people affect public opinion. But *of course* public opinion (I'm not going to put it in scare quotes) is a core force in politics. At least in anything vaguely resembling a democracy. That's almost a tautology. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@adamdavidson @davidshor No because 1) high-information partisans almost always vote anyway; 2) switching a vote (turning a -1 to a +1) counts twice as much as turning out a vote (0 to 1); 3) actions that motivate your side's partisans often motivate the other side's partisans as much or more. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@adamdavidson @davidshor In the US you have bias toward conservative positions because red voters are over-represented in the Senate, and therefore also in federal courts. And of course you have bias toward what wealthy and/or influential elites like. But overall the correlation is quite strong. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2022