Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 11, 2022

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Tue May 24 23:03:19 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Liveblog tonight with primaries all over the South. — PolitiTweet.org

There are primary elections today in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Follow our live blog for live… https://t.co/l7ZHKlKRdv

Posted May 24, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

DeSantis and Trump now basically tied at PredictIt in likelihood of being the 2024 nominee. Not crazy IMO. Trump isn't *that* far ahead of DeSantis in polls and it's pretty even once you account for name recognition, which you probably need to do when looking at polls this soon. https://t.co/a3rn6MMMSM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Without endorsing this specific claim about gun control polling, I think this captures something about US public opinion. People don't want to give the other side "wins" even when they support the change at the margin because of the heuristic of "they won't stop there". — PolitiTweet.org

The practical problem on this is that you can get bipartisan majorities for specific provisions but there usually g… https://t.co/lp2gYhigqG

Posted May 25, 2022