Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 11, 2022

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Tue May 24 18:45:05 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved @jaycaspiankang I think I had some vague knowledge of the 2-0 thing but it's truly kind of weird. Like, score effects in a blowout game are one thing and teams are probably rational to play with a lower effort level. But, any playoff G3 is super high leverage. Or maybe it's the officiating? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved @jaycaspiankang How much of that is motivation vs. 3 games being enough to reveal something about the matchups? (e.g. that GSW is a bad matchup for DAL.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

DeSantis and Trump now basically tied at PredictIt in likelihood of being the 2024 nominee. Not crazy IMO. Trump isn't *that* far ahead of DeSantis in polls and it's pretty even once you account for name recognition, which you probably need to do when looking at polls this soon. https://t.co/a3rn6MMMSM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2022