Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 23, 2022

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Fri May 06 16:03:52 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Why Roe could matter, electorally: Voters like the status quo, and usually the party out of power doesn't get to enact major policy changes. Roe being overturned would be a *major* exception and would remind voters how much power Republicans have via courts and state governments. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Alternatively, blue-collar voters could regard him as a phony and suburbanites could regard him as a yokel. Anything that can be the best of both worlds can conceivably also be the worst of both worlds. Vance is a pretty heavy favorite but mostly because Ohio is red now. — PolitiTweet.org

In @JDVance1, Ohio Democrats have their nightmare, a boot-strapped hard-scrabble Appalachian to blue-collar voters,… https://t.co/yBhGFCDBNm

Posted May 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKThomp I've cited the OpenTable data before and I think it's useful in the aggregate but also potentially subject to a few biases, namely selection effects from restaurants departing for other platforms (e.g. Resy). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2022