Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 7, 2022

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Sun Apr 24 21:04:44 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Chris_arnade I don't know. Lots of plausible theories. It's also interesting that Republicans generally haven't outperformed polls in elections without Trump on the ballot. I do wonder if there's something about Trump in particular that turns out low-propensity voters who polls miss. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Second election in a row where (if initial projections hold) Le Pen will underperform her polls. It's basically a myth that polls underrate right-wing and/or nationalist candidates. True for Trump, but not true in the aggregate. https://t.co/KejtGLldTD — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Manchin getting re-elected in 2024 would be some of the best news Democrats could hope for but I'll probably get roasted for saying so. — PolitiTweet.org

NEW: Over the past year, @Sen_JoeManchin has seen the largest job approval rating improvement of any senator. It p… https://t.co/V7UNR3Z9oC

Posted April 25, 2022