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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Communications professionals vastly overrate how important communications are to political outcomes. Incumebent parties usually do poorly in midterms (it's not clear Ds will do any worse than average), the country has big problems, it's not so easy to message your way out of it. — PolitiTweet.org

Elections have consequences. 2022 should be no different. Presently, the Democratic House Majority is speeding tow… https://t.co/EfhZzh6JaH

Posted April 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Protentialmn @PhilGalfond It might be worth looking at something like the AAA as a model, e.g. a non-profit membership organization that provides useful services to members but also does some advocacy/lobbying. https://t.co/i9GX2EfjnG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@davidshor @tbonier I don't think it's a law of physics and, certainly, "fundamentals"-based electoral determinism can go too far. But I do think the context that incumbent parties very often struggle is important and we don't know yet whether D performance will be better or worse than average. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2022