Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 4, 2022

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Tue Apr 19 21:50:24 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@derekwillis @lxeagle17 @DrewSav Yeah, unless your problems are with Cuban-Americans and Puerto Ricans *very* specifically, it's hard to map out a strategy where you're writing off Florida but aren't also having problems in Arizona, Nevada and Texas. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@lxeagle17 @DrewSav I also think Florida's trajectory is pretty unpredictable in the long run. In the short run, people are probably moving there in part because of its conservative politics. But by "fundamentals" (e.g. urban and very diverse) it ought to be purple if not even a little blue. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DrewSav @lxeagle17 I guess the way I think of it is there are a lot of different ingredients working in Florida. There's a lot of WWC migration but also among other groups, e.g. migration from NY/NJ/CT and some tech and finance people from the West Coast. So you probably want to retain some optiona — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2022