Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 1, 2022

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Tue Apr 19 19:11:26 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@PatrickRuffini I suspect the gap reflects some combination of all of these, plus the fact that people who are *very* COVID cautious may not be on airlines or out in public much in the first place — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@PatrickRuffini Important to differentiate a few different theories: 1) Polls aren't capturing a representative sample 2) People aren't stating their true preferences (b/c of e.g. social desirability bias) 3) People prefer a mask mandate *in principle* but won't mask unless others must also — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @PatrickRuffini That's certainly the case for flying in particular. But—just from traveling a *lot* around the US—it seems like there are a lot of other places and contexts where people mostly don't mask unless required, despite mask mandates being somewhat popular in polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2022