Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 24, 2022

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Thu Apr 14 23:47:04 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Why? Well, partly because the people inclined to believe crazy shit probably won't vote D anyway. Partly because swing voters get turned off by it. And, partisanship is a strong motivator and Democratic voters have some incorrect beliefs as well. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 14, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course people believe some crazy shit! And yet, Democrats won big in 2018 and narrowly in 2020. And they won the popular vote in 2016 and the close result was right in line with what economic models predicted. So, the *electoral* impact of misinformation is pretty ambiguous. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Nate, I mean this seriously: Go outside. Talk to some people. See what they actually believe. It's pretty wild.

Posted April 14, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

More broadly, the literature generally suggests - yes, it's complicated - that voters pick sides first and *then* formulate (partisan-motivated) beliefs, more than the other way around. So the appetite for misinformation is to some important degree downstream from partisanship. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2022