Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 13, 2022

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Thu Mar 31 15:47:51 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Both Republicans and Democrats take lots of unpopular positions. And to some extent those balance out so Republicans are probably on track for a merely good rather than superlative midterm—about in line with the average midterm, which is good for the opposition party. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 31, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not breaking news here, but people have way too low a threshold for citing academic work that flatters their preconceptions. Doing good research is hard. The median paper is mediocre, leaves out lots of confounders and complications, and shouldn't change your priors much. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 31, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Such a result, however, would not really be a refutation of "popularism". Neither party is really playing for the center. I do think popularist critiques of the left sometimes neglect that there are two sides of the coin and that the GOP is very right-wing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 31, 2022