Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 5, 2022

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Wed Mar 23 12:30:39 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki @JenniferNuzzo I don't blame anyone too much for spring 2020 decisions. And you'd have to look up what was known at the time about e.g. severity in children. But I think it was probably a bad decision in places where COVID containment was implausible, e.g. the US. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ZoeMcLaren It's still part-and-parcel of cost-benefit analysis, though! "Bad things happen when you call with a mediocre hand" is often an excellent poker heuristic, but it's a good heuristic because it's empirically true that such calls lose money on average... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ZoeMcLaren So, this is a really complicated question that you could answer in about 5 different ways! (see below) https://t.co/KkbiIDcZLo — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 23, 2022