Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2022

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Wed Mar 23 12:05:09 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@sdbaral I actually think the PP makes a decent argument *against* drastic interventions like closures, i.e. "In-person interactions have long been the basis of civil society; although there are now many adequate virtual substitutes, we should be cautious about abruptly removing them". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Generously interpreted, the "precautionary principle" might mean "make an effort to account for uncertain hazards, even if they're hard to quantify". OK! But in this case (school closures) there are hard-to-quantify hazards *whatever* you decide. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ZoeMcLaren It's still part-and-parcel of cost-benefit analysis, though! "Bad things happen when you call with a mediocre hand" is often an excellent poker heuristic, but it's a good heuristic because it's empirically true that such calls lose money on average... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 23, 2022