Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 29, 2022

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Sat Mar 12 20:32:15 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@phl43 I mean yeah it's complicated. Depends on how we're defining success and whether we're doing an exercise where we assume perfect foresight or evaluating real-time performance under uncertainty. Also if we're comparing to median, mean or modal outcomes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 12, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@phl43 I nominate you to write the "pandemic could have gone so much worse" hot take. Vaccines came fast & were effective; we avoided worst economic outcomes; lockdowns may have been overused but people were quite willing to make adaptations; world lucky Omicron was a bit less virulent. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 12, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@NickRiccardi We had a much bigger Omicron wave though and (relatedly) were much less locked down, so there are lots of important differences. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 12, 2022