Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 25, 2022

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Thu Mar 03 18:14:01 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is an esoteric complaint but I wish the Doomsday Clock had remained focused on the threat of nuclear war specifically instead of blending it with climate change under some vague notion of manmade existential risks (while other manmade risks e.g. AI). https://t.co/BmurgyvDSF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Yeah, there's a certain lawyerly slight-of-hand in like firmly establishing that the defendant was at the crime scene and making a big show of that to the jury, and hoping in so doing they ignore that you haven't found a weapon or provided anything beyond circumstantial evidence. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 1, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't think parsimony is the principle you want to invoke here since the lab-leak argument relies heavily on parsimony, e.g. lab leak advocates will say it probably wasn't a coincidence a novel coronavirus emerged in a city with a world-famous lab for studying coronaviruses. — PolitiTweet.org

A guiding principle in the scientific process is parsimony, the simplest possible explanation for a phenomenon. Why… https://t.co/girxXsNWQH

Posted March 3, 2022