Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 18, 2022

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Fri Feb 18 02:00:29 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro I sometimes feel like people ought to pre-register their takes conditional upon electoral outcomes, e.g. "I agree not publish any 'actually, this wasn't *so* bad for liberals and was just a zany coincidence of local factors!!!' takes if the recalls prevail by 20 or more points." — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 18, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are some disputes in the comments about precisely *which* unpopular liberal positions were most important in the recall, which don't really serve to rebut the thesis. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ryangrim I'm skeptical that it has its origins in the Bernie-Hillary wars as opposed to polarization along educational lines that accelerated under Trump. I don't even think there's much correlation between who was on Team Bernie or Team HRC in 2016 and who is "woke" or "anti-woke" now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 18, 2022