Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 31, 2022

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Thu Feb 03 23:39:18 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MarkHarrisNYC @JamesSurowiecki I'm also not talking about people who are temporarily being more cautious under Omicron. Those folks will start going out again. The 15% estimate comes from survey and behavioral data of people who were still being quite cautious pre-Omicron. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MarkHarrisNYC @JamesSurowiecki Very few people I know fall into that 15% even though demographically more of them should (i.e. most of my friends are college-educated liberals). So I think there are some pretty subtle cultural factors here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MarkHarrisNYC @JamesSurowiecki In survey data there's basically no correlation between COVID caution and age (even though there probably *should* be). Nor is there very much in my personal friend circles FWIW but the broader point is that one should be careful about generalizing from one's friends. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2022