Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 24, 2022

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Tue Feb 01 17:27:28 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In other words, if people are unhappy, that's bad for the incumbent party (Democrats in 2022/2024). And people have lots of good reasons to be unhappy. I'm not sure if it matters so much to sort out whether they're unhappy because of COVID or the economy per se. 4/4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe it's also the case that poor consumer sentiment is capturing some degree of (COVID-related) poor overall well-being rather than poor financial circumstances per se. But that's still useful to know, because poor overall well-being is likely bad news for Biden politically. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@phl43 This is also why I find myself increasingly disinterested in COVID debates. If someone isn't willing to accept the premise that public policy ought to be subject to cost-benefit analysis, there isn't much point in arguing with them about anything else. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2022