Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 23, 2022

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Tue Feb 01 17:24:38 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

By extension: If consumers are experiencing COVID-related disruptions in ways that aren't well-captured by traditional indicators, the problem probably isn't so much that consumers have changed but that the indicators are inadequate. 2/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Having done a LOT of research on how the economy impacts elections: there is NOT any one "magic" indicator that fully captures how voters feel about the economy. The best you can do is to take a broad mix of indicators (including inflation) at different time horizons. 1/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe it's also the case that poor consumer sentiment is capturing some degree of (COVID-related) poor overall well-being rather than poor financial circumstances per se. But that's still useful to know, because poor overall well-being is likely bad news for Biden politically. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2022