Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 21, 2022

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Sun Jan 16 18:10:19 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

They're coming down in the Northeast. The positive test rate in NYC, which is less subject to test availability than the overall # of cases, was 13% yesterday vs. 20% a week earlier. It's real and a pretty sharp shift. Not sure about the rest of the country. — PolitiTweet.org

Are Covid cases really coming down now, or do we all just have enough at-home tests now?

Posted Jan. 16, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People are frustrated about COVID and inflation, it's tough to get stuff done with just 50 votes in the Senate, it's a polarized country, etc. I'm not a strict determinist about this stuff, but I think political commentators tend to overstate the importance of the WH's messaging. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 16, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@owasow From as best as I can tell from survey data, people probably overestimate their risk of severe outcomes from COVID rather than underestimate it, see e.g.: https://t.co/9cgSrU18n3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 16, 2022