Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 12, 2022

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Wed Jan 12 20:10:48 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've never been sure which data sources to trust on the question of hospital capacity, and in some ways—such as because of the increase in incidental COVID hospitalizations under Omicron—the situation is more confusing than ever. But TBH I trust anecdotal evidence even less. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 12, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And even the Manchin exception, I'm not sure about. Absent the filibuster, would he really support voting rights or other more ambitious parts of the D agenda? I tend to think he'd say e.g. "We can't undertake legislation like this on a purely partisan basis" and still oppose. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 12, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm saying: * I don't think there are a lot of things that Manchin/Sinema would agree to *without* the filibuster that Dems aren't doing now. They'd find some other reason to oppose. * I don't think McConnell will be reluctant to further/completely erode the filibuster in 2023. — PolitiTweet.org

Even when parties use reconciliation to go around the filibuster, there are huge constraints on what they can do. I… https://t.co/yqeV2kiCsU

Posted Jan. 12, 2022