Tweet by @NateSilver538

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

My hot take is that the filibuster mostly doesn't exist anymore, in the sense that it's been so weakened as a norm that going forward, it won't significantly constrain action that parties would strongly want to take anyway. Maybe Manchin on voting rights is an exception. — PolitiTweet.org

If you're a D who thinks a) The Senate has a very strong, durable pro-GOP bias b/c of small states b) The filibus… https://t.co/9NjziyB8tC

Posted Jan. 12, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The thing about Omicron is that it sorta makes everyone's arguments stronger. "Flatten the curve" crew can note it will likely pass thru quickly so NPIs won't last as long. Team "let 'er rip" can point toward lower severity and that it may be too contagious to control via NPIs. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 12, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And even the Manchin exception, I'm not sure about. Absent the filibuster, would he really support voting rights or other more ambitious parts of the D agenda? I tend to think he'd say e.g. "We can't undertake legislation like this on a purely partisan basis" and still oppose. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 12, 2022