Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 9, 2022

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Mon Jan 10 17:12:24 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved Yeah. I also think things like the *extremely* high rate of cases among NBA or NHL players tells us something. Yes, it's an unusual group of people in important ways (with high COVID exposure) but it is a controlled sample of people who are constantly tested. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 10, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A problem with analysis like this: It's likely there's FAR more underreporting of cases than last winter. Why? * At home tests now likely >=50% of overall volume * Huge demand overwhelming in-person test facilities * Omicron milder = cases easier to miss https://t.co/a2M6ldWY6A https://t.co/bIxOSSXIF7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 10, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@NickRiccardi It potentially has implications for how long the wave lasts, though. If we're showing 700k confirmed cases a day and that's only like 10% of the total, that means 7m *infections* daily and you burn through the population pretty fast at that rate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 10, 2022