Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 20, 2022

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Fri Dec 31 15:13:32 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One difference is that Bush had good reason to think a perpetual war on terror mentality would benefit him politically in 2002/2004, whereas I doubt that Biden believes that a "perpetual war on COVID" mentality will help him in 2022/2024. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Yes, absolutely there will be. We still take off our shoes and belts, and throw out water bottles, because of 9/11.

Posted Dec. 31, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A fun question for prediction markets might be: will there be a federal mask requirement in place on domestic flights as of Nov. 8, 2022? (i.e. Election Day.) I think I'd make 'No' about the 3:2 favorite, but wouldn't put a lot of money on it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm Yeah. I think people tend to miss the gap between the stricter NPIs that public health people and liberal thought leaders might advocate for (although, *that's* changing too) and the relatively laissez-faire attitude favored by most Democratic politicians since spring 2021. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2021