Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 18, 2022

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Thu Dec 30 14:49:42 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Chris_arnade Yeah, some college campuses are a plausible exception. Even there I wonder what the true preferences of faculty and students are. But it's presumably close enough to a majority that extremely strict policies don't seem to be triggering a rebellion. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 30, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Various data points suggest perhaps 15% of Americans are super COVID-cautious, which I would describe as seeking to significantly limit face-to-face contact. Even though the 15% are more concentrated in some places, they're the majority almost nowhere, including in blue cities. — PolitiTweet.org

I think this is actually more true of high-education neighborhoods in big cities than it is of "low education" ones… https://t.co/NISvGBRSIs

Posted Dec. 30, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Worth thinking about this scenario if you're making an economic or for that matter political forecast for next year. Next several weeks could be very difficult, but the US might be in a better position thereafter than it might have been otherwise. — PolitiTweet.org

But these risks feel like fairly low probability events. As dire as things look now, I think the likeliest outcome… https://t.co/FM6lRWAXDP

Posted Dec. 30, 2021