Nate Silver

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MileHighBrendan It's hard to know. In my mental model I tend to weight the (largely very encouraging) South Africa data very heavily, just because I think having somewhere that's ~3 weeks ahead of everywhere else tends to outweigh things that might make SA different. But that might be wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Elites can have whatever tastes they want and there's no reason they ought to conform to mainstream culture. But I do think a lot of elites would fail a pop quiz on how the median American thinks and behaves, and that probably makes them a less effective advocate for their views. — PolitiTweet.org