Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 11, 2022

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Thu Dec 23 00:03:15 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hospitalization numbers are still growing in Gauteng province, but not by much (290 in ICU vs. 255 a week ago). And since their cases have begun to decline, hospitalizations likely near peak too, and much lower than prior waves. https://t.co/IADxxEjgfW — PolitiTweet.org

SA COVID UPDATE 22 DECEMBER • Changes from yesterday highlighted • Excess deaths https://t.co/6kceBNKczL

Posted Dec. 23, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People miss the really good news in the South Africa data, which is that the *absolute* number of severe outcomes (e.g. ICU admissions) is quite low as compared to previous waves. It's *not* just a lower percentage (which could cause problems with a high enough # of cases). — PolitiTweet.org

ICU numbers going up but at a relatively slow rate. I haven't really heard any reports of ICU's being overwhelmed l… https://t.co/wZt98tikIm

Posted Dec. 22, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Should be noted that South Africa had very little COVID of any kind when its Omicron wave started, whereas in the US, we have big Delta problems. To what extent Omicron comes "on top of" Delta as opposed to displacing Delta seems like an important question. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 23, 2021