Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 10, 2022

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Tue Dec 21 16:53:28 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm A lot of it is good. With generalist publications, the results are a bit more mixed. I do think there's too much certainty around the idea hospitals will be overwhelmed b/c of Omicron. Probably, in part because some were already on the brink with Delta! But they weren't in SA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

News stories need to be able to convey when probabilities have meaningfully shifted even though uncertainties remain. That's how most news works—you don't go from total uncertainty to 100% overnight. Here's an example of a story that struck the right tone: https://t.co/3BRexiSwc5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm I agree. I just think that the audience is smarter than publications sometimes assume and can walk and chew gum at the same time and handle some complexity, e.g. "the news looks pretty good on severity, but here's why you might still want to be careful for the next few weeks". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2021