Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 8, 2022

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Tue Dec 21 00:00:24 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thehowie I think the thing that makes this tricky is that we might have been seeing a lot of problems anyway because of Delta. So you can be somewhat bullish on Omicron, but still worried about the next several weeks because the situation was already tenuous before it arrived. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Does anyone else read this as kind of...OK news? Cases have increased a lot in places like NYC and DC where people are diligent about getting tested. But they haven't increased a lot elsewhere. Undoubtedly a *ton* of underdetection. But that may imply most Omicron cases are mild. — PolitiTweet.org

Last week @CDCgov reported Omicron was 2.9% (that has now been revised) *Today it is 73%* Dominant across the US (w… https://t.co/SQDuyUgP5G

Posted Dec. 20, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@TheZvi One thing I've been thinking about is that Omicron is clearly so weird that we should be less anchored to the prior that it has similar severity to other variants. Or other properties for that matter (e.g. *how* it transmits). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2021