Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 7, 2022

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Mon Dec 20 20:21:06 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you believe statements such as "polls show BBB is super popular in West Virigina!" then I have a bridge over the Monongahela River to sell you. BBB polls just barely better than breakeven nationally. It is not going to be popular in a state Biden lost by 39 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 20, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe a NYC thing but I know a lot of folks who got COVID in spring 2020... That aside, part of the adjustment IMO is that the vaccines were *so* effective at first that people were able to delay confronting the fact that COVID was a risk they had to manage like any other. — PolitiTweet.org

My hot take is that the panic and drama are coming from a professional class that (after March 2020) were pretty sa… https://t.co/guVAr5OFlh

Posted Dec. 20, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Does anyone else read this as kind of...OK news? Cases have increased a lot in places like NYC and DC where people are diligent about getting tested. But they haven't increased a lot elsewhere. Undoubtedly a *ton* of underdetection. But that may imply most Omicron cases are mild. — PolitiTweet.org

Last week @CDCgov reported Omicron was 2.9% (that has now been revised) *Today it is 73%* Dominant across the US (w… https://t.co/SQDuyUgP5G

Posted Dec. 20, 2021