Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Sun Dec 19 18:36:35 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another interesting hypothetical is whether Democrats could have passed a somewhat more climate-friendly version of BIF, since it actually didn't need Manchin's vote having passed the Senate 69-30. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Argument from the progressive POV is that with the two bills being linked, if Manchin really wanted… https://t.co/iObOegDAYE

Posted Dec. 19, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's NOT the situation Dems faced, however. They have exactly 50 votes. And policy preferences in today's Congress are largely unidimensional across a left-right scale. So pretty much, the most conservative D senator is the veto point, whatever cute tactics you might use. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 19, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, leverage doesn't come from using some clever negotiating tactic. It comes almost entirely from being able to credibly walk away from a deal (credibly = without having to cut off one's nose to spite one's face). Manchin had leverage and the progressives did not. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 19, 2021