Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 7, 2022

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Sun Dec 19 18:25:42 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lumping bills together tends to work better when you *have votes to spare* and can do some logrolling, i.e. Senator A doesn’t love Bill Z and Senator B doesn’t love Bill Y, but they’ll agree to vote for them in exchange for the other senator’s vote on the other bill. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 19, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Certainly, progressives were right that decoupling BBB and the infrastructure bill made it more likely that infrastructure would pass without BBB. However, the alternative wasn't necessarily both passing. Perhaps more likely, neither would have passed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 19, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's NOT the situation Dems faced, however. They have exactly 50 votes. And policy preferences in today's Congress are largely unidimensional across a left-right scale. So pretty much, the most conservative D senator is the veto point, whatever cute tactics you might use. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 19, 2021