Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 5, 2022

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Fri Dec 17 16:55:39 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@AstorAaron Also, unless I'm misreading the report, the hospitalization share *is* lower with Omicron, no? (24 out of 15063 = 0.16%, as compared with 1392 out of 208947 = 0.67%). Just not enough to achieve statistical significance after whatever fancy adjustments etc. they're doing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred Yeah. I get that SA could be different because of a different age or immunity profile, etc. But, the SA experts have been telling us from the start that this looks *really* different to them, and I think people should maybe be giving some deference to that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved @notdred Yeah. There are some plausible causal mechanisms here. There's also this, which I haven't seen much follow-up upon. https://t.co/rw0jLU4j2J — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2021