Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 4, 2022

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Tue Dec 14 18:01:25 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If anything school closures don't get nearly enough media attention IMO given the enormous near- and long-term effects they had and will have on people's lives. And of course that's going to be a voting issue for some people, too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 14, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The thermostatic politics explanations are pretty lazy IMO. There's a fair bit of variance in how large thermostatic swings are, the swing in VA was notably larger than in the CA recall election a few months earlier, and policy toward schools was a big deal in the VA campaign. — PolitiTweet.org

People said, what use is it to attribute things to thermostatic politics, when we can't change that? Fair enough, b… https://t.co/j6sran2XPM

Posted Dec. 14, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonmladd The race swung toward Youngkin after McAuliffe's gaffe/bad answer on schools. Lots of polling data suggested education was a big issue for voters, as did a lot of on-the-ground reporting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 14, 2021