Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Jan. 3, 2022

Created

Wed Dec 08 16:33:20 +0000 2021

Likes

134

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thehowie I guess it seems increasingly likely that *either* the vaccines (and/or "natural" immunity?) are quite effective against severe disease (*maybe* more so than lab work implies?) *or* Omicron is intrinsically less virulent, to some degree. Either one would be pretty good news, no? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 8, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Question for the epis: At what point does this start to become meaningful? If all Omicron cases are mild/asymptomatic out of 337 detected in the EU so far, that's rather unlikely to occur by chance alone, no? What % of Delta cases are mild/asymptomatic? https://t.co/f9A4cxhlSF https://t.co/mP8CS3vak7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 8, 2021

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not great that surveys are overestimating vaccine uptake (though, I'd note that the CDC's data has some issues too). Both on vaccines and other COVID precautions, there are likely some fairly big biases in surveys toward people who are more conscientious/careful about COVID. — PolitiTweet.org

Out in @Nature today: Two large surveys were biased, with too much certainty on the wrong estimate, illustrating Me… https://t.co/4pe31m8lWr

Posted Dec. 8, 2021