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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2021

Created

Mon Dec 06 23:56:36 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred Appreciate it. I booked my booster dose the other week the moment you were like "uh oh, Omicron looks pretty bad". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 6, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred Moderna claims here that its booster increases neutralization by 23- to 44- fold, i.e. about the same magnitude as the loss Dr. Bloom is expecting from Omicron. Does that imply 3 doses vs. Omicron ~= 2 doses vs. Delta? Or way more complicated than that? https://t.co/dkJHydLrN5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 6, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen I think part of it is that what the experts *know* and that what the experts *say* are two different things because experts in any field under a lot of public scrutiny have somewhat skewed incentives. So there's a certain amount of decoding that the market can do. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2021

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